Saturday, June 1, 2013

Russia sends arms to Syria. - 2013.

Media Photo
The idea of arms sales to Middle Eastern states by Russian arms producers has been around for a long time.  It probably pre – dates the Israëli – Palestinian conflict and the Middle East wars related to that as fought with U.S.S.R. military might / armor against Western military armor.  The recent problem with this is the Russians as usual appear to play a kind of spoiler in promoting what people in Eastern Europe who have a voice that's more important now in the scheme of things see as peacekeeping in the Middle East and an effort to preserve the status quo.  Russian arms sales to Syria, if they are of the same nature as in the past here, send a message to Western states that the supply of arms does not mean, for Russia and maybe to itself only, outright belligerency, and Russian actions here are a way to influence more than the politics in the region that those just in Syria.  The Russians themselves might present the arms sales as a kind of olive branch and an offer no one can refuse:  Modern anti – air warfare defenses in Syria might challenge the necessity of air surveillance over that territory and maybe some other military measures that would otherwise encourage the Al – Assad regime to give into the provincial insurrection and rebellion / revolution.  No one knows what those are really without inside details as to what is being discussed in Western capitols in order to support the anti – Bashar Al - Assad insurgents. 
 
The considerations of many of the simple political articles and stories on this that appear in the media are so complex today that one can not point to any particular reason, and that is singly, for an acceptance of Russian arms to Syria on the one hand and any cession of the Assad regime on the other.  Remember that while such exchanges with Syria and Eastern Europe are supposedly peaceful in nature, air defenses as sold to Syria might prevent proper military measures given the fighting to block or curtail campaigns of the regime against people regardless of how it treats opposing military or paramilitary groups aligned against the status quo there.  The considerations, including the timing of the proposed arms sales that is terrible for Western powers, on both sides could be now worked on by powerfully programmed super – technology super – thinking machines that can consider things from a simple dataset input as a narrative, that are indeed complex about this conflict given the circumstances of Iran and other Middle East regional powers at this point having caused hiccups everywhere attempts have been made to confirm the revolution for the freedom fighters.  This is an oversimplification, but Syria apparently has a quite robust supply of armaments for motorized “blitz” – type terror on the revolutionary fighters whereas the anti – government forces have had essentially makeshift armaments and only variegated small arms since the beginning of this conflict.  To even turn over the leaf on supplying the revolutionaries from Western arsenals is extremely touchy, again given regional military and diplomatic considerations despite Russia’s actions.  It is also important to consider the role of the U.S. State Department and its Secretary in this chaotic conflict, and the formation of its Secretary who is calling for an end to the conflict through peaceful means while knowing himself that the introduction of new Russian arms (a popular interpretation) will provoke the Assad regime to really pound the rebels while making attempts to influence world opinion that will keep Assad in the clear until his mission of quelling any revolution is complete.  It might help one to understand the rebels are not secure without air support, and the sale of anti – air armaments in what appears 0to be in quantity to the Syrian administration at this point will cause the physical security and condition of the rebels there to be less effective, aggressive, and achieving of their popular goal of taking power away from a shifty, cruel ruler. 

Read Additional Article here from U.K. papers, and click here for another online column.
 
 

No comments: